The federal government already has a windfall tax on gas income. But while gas prices soar, is the tax doing its job? & More Trending News
There’s not often been a higher time to be an Australian gas exporter.
The struggle in Ukraine has seen demand for Australian gas soar, and pulled prices skyward with it.
And Australia has loads of gas to supply — it is one among the world’s largest LNG exporters, and people firms promoting gas to the world are in a prime place to capitalise.
The gas being offered is owned by the Commonwealth, and licensed to be offered by the firms extracting it.
So how a lot are Australian taxpayers making from the sale of Australian gas?
Right now, most likely not as a lot as you would possibly anticipate.
The windfall tax you have most likely by no means heard of
As gas prices have shot up, there have been requires Australia to attempt to seize a few of that revenue by way of a new tax on gas firms.
Comparisons have been drawn with nations like Norway, which locations a 78 per cent tax on income from its oil and gas firms (a lot of that are partly state-owned anyway).
Others recommend Australia simply reform the taxes already in place.
Australia already has a particular tax for offshore oil and gas initiatives, referred to as the Petroleum Resources Rent Tax (PRRT).
It taxes income from these initiatives at 40 per cent, on the grounds they’re commonwealth assets — so the Commonwealth ought to share in the income.
But regardless of loads of gas being offered, it brings in surprisingly little tax.
The tax has been round since the late 1980’s, as Australia’s oil trade was growing.
Gas is now a a lot bigger trade than oil, however regardless of the trade’s progress, the tax has been bringing in roughly the similar quantity of income.
The income is not even maintaining with Australia’s common financial progress, changing into ever-smaller towards Australia’s rising GDP.
And it is forecast to maintain diminishing — falling from $2.6 billion this 12 months, down to simply $2 billion in 2025-26.
So why is an trade bringing in tens of billions of income, paying so little tax for the gas it sells?
A decades-old tax made for a completely different time
The tax was launched in 1988 to attempt to seize income from offshore oil and gas initiatives, however again then it was largely oil.
The purpose was to attempt to each encourage firms to discover offshore oil and gas, and considerably tax the income made.
Companies would solely need to pay tax as soon as the initiatives had fully paid for themselves — that is, all the cash spent exploring and developing oil and gas wells and the related infrastructure had been recouped.
That’s a pretty regular circumstance — most taxes are solely paid on revenue.
But importantly (and controversially), these constructions prices develop over time, the similar approach curiosity grows and compounds in a financial savings account.
The scheme was designed to be remarkably beneficiant, with curiosity of as much as roughly 18 per cent utilized to completely different parts of a challenge’s prices, and allowed to compound.
For instance, if a firm spent $10 billion on a challenge, they could wind up being allowed to deduct $15 billion or extra from their tax invoice years down the observe — as a result of these prices have compounded.
Given the typically distant location of gas deposits, initiatives may be eye-wateringly costly.
As at 2020-21, in keeping with tax workplace information, the trade was carrying a whole of $283 billion in future tax deductions from expenditure.
The Gorgon gas challenge, constructed on and round Barrow Island off WA’s north-west coast, reportedly price $70 billion to assemble.
With the PRRT’s deductions scheme in place, there have been options the challenge might by no means pay the assets tax.
Change may be coming
It appears more and more doubtless the PRRT is set to vary, in an effort to seize some extra tax income from the sector.
Treasurer Jim Chalmers has singled out the tax as one space of doable change, every time questioned on the thought of a “windfall tax”.
There are a few voices suggesting some fairly easy tweaks that they argue might make a huge distinction.
The Morrison government ordered its personal evaluate of the PRRT in 2017, and made a few modifications principally lowering the deductions obtainable — however they solely utilized to new initiatives, not these already underway and benefiting from the present growth.
The Australian Industry (AI) Group, a enterprise foyer, argues modifications have to go additional and seize initiatives already working.
It means that extra income ought to go in direction of funding the transition away from fossil fuels, given how costly that course of will doubtless be.
The AI Group’s Tennant Reed mentioned the tax clearly is not working.
“There’s no doubt that the deductions under the PRRT are quite generous,” he mentioned.
“And if those deductions were less generous, that existing tax would be raising quite a lot more money for the production and sale of Australia’s gas and oil resources.”
He mentioned altering tax settings on current initiatives is fully honest — because it occurs to individuals, and firms, all the time.
“While it requires careful action, altering the tax settings that apply to future income years is totally legitimate,” he mentioned.
“I’m more than 40 years into my asset life, and the tax settings have changed on me a bunch of times.”
The gas trade argues there is no case for change, as the PRRT is doing its job.
Samantha McCulloch from trade physique APPEA was requested on the ABC’s 7.30 program whether or not she thought the present PRRT consumption was honest.
“The PRRT is projected to provide $11 billion to the federal government budget (over the next four years),” she mentioned.
“This is already a profits-based tax of at least 40 per cent, and its just one of the financial contributions of the industry to government revenues.”
Different concepts for a booming trade
Others push for greater modifications.
The Greens would scrap the $283 billion in obtainable deductions for gas initiatives altogether, and begin charging producers the full charge of tax.
Progressive think-tank The Australia Institute suggests leaving the deductions, however restructuring the tax so it kicks in when “super-profits” are earned.
If gas firms have a significantly good 12 months, solely a few of their income could be obtainable for tax deductions – that means some could be taxed it doesn’t matter what.
In 2017, UNSW economist Richard Holden proposed including to the PRRT with a royalties scheme, which might take 10 per cent of the income generated from initiatives.
Revenue is completely different to revenue — it is merely the earnings constituted of promoting the gas, as a right given to cash spent extracting it.
Many states have royalties schemes in place for onshore mining and gas initiatives, however as offshore gas initiatives are in Commonwealth waters, no such schemes apply — which is a part of the purpose the PRRT exists in the first place.
Five years on, Professor Holden argues a higher strategy could be opening up extra gas reserves to new initiatives, however requiring a few of the gas produced to remain in Australia — pushing down gas prices for shoppers.
“By decoupling some of the supply in Australia from the world’s supply, you can decouple the price of gas in Australia from the world price of gas,” he mentioned.
“Now that doesn’t do a lot for tax revenues, but it would do something to alleviate the price pressure that Australian households are under.”
Has the alternative for gas windfalls already handed?
Australia’s vitality market is already altering quickly, and it is all however sure reliance on gas will steadily decline.
The Albanese government has made clear it expects gas to “play a key role as a transition fuel”, however the presumption inside that is it can decline as web zero emissions is approached.
Some specialists anticipate that development to be replicated globally — that means it doesn’t matter what kind of taxes are positioned on the sector, the alternative to earn important income will fade.
Mr Reed mentioned gas most likely has one other 5 years of so forward of very robust prices, however the development away will ultimately arrive.
“If all our customers overseas do what they say they’re going to do, those profits are going to fade over time,” he mentioned,
“There will be a mega-trend of lower consumption and probably lower prices.”
Professor Holden mentioned the prime time for gas exports (and tax windfalls) might already be behind us.
“The exact time path is unclear, but the writing is on the wall for coal,” he mentioned.
“I think gas is currently estimated to be around until at least 2040, in Australia, but there’s no doubt that it will play a much less significant role in our energy mix over coming decades.
“That means much less alternative to tax it. So largely talking, we have missed the boat.”
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